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10 days left

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$1.8K
109 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 44 traders

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?

7 MARKETS · $13.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs2 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$63+8 new NO$175
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $137 is directional: YES $50·NO $87
YES Team
Total Invested
$50
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+14.2%)
Whales
4
J
johnashbough🥇
Entry 42¢·41.9 shares
+$0INV $18 · WR 55.6%
J
just-bettor🥈
Entry 29¢·50 shares
+$7INV $15 · WR 57.3%
C
cloverpmq2🥉
Entry 48¢·20 shares
$-1INV $10 · WR 59.9%
R
rar111
Entry 39¢·20 shares
+$1INV $8 · WR 62.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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