26 days left
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October?
YES Price
89¢
89% implied
NO Price
11¢
11% implied
Volume
$9.1K
320 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 95 traders · 1 on both sides
3rd largest private company end of October?
10 MARKETS · $11.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
2¢−2¢$2860/3Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October−2¢2¢
$2860/3
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
1¢−1¢$2020/5Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October−1¢1¢
$2020/5
Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October←
89¢−47¢$9.1K5/7Will ByteDance have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October←−47¢89¢
$9.1K5/7
Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
2¢−2¢$2320/4Will Canva have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October−2¢2¢
$2320/4
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
4¢−4¢$2170/6Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October−4¢4¢
$2170/6
Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
2¢−2¢$2170/5Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October−2¢2¢
$2170/5
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
3¢−3¢$2170/6Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October−3¢3¢
$2170/6
Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October
1¢+66¢$2092/1Will Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation at the end of October+66¢1¢
$2092/1
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$6.6K+67 new NO$980
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 24 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $2.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.0K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-0.7%)
Whales
5
D
dedidanc🥇
Entry 92¢·931.9 shares
Invested
$859
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $859 · WR 60.3%
A
AlphaGooo🥈
Entry 93¢·447 shares
Invested
$415
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $415 · WR 62.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 91¢·400 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$366
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $366 · WR 57.7%
O
Olcan
Entry 83¢·321.2 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $268 · WR 76.8%
V
vinii
Entry 61¢·89.8 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $54 · WR 65.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$57
Avg Win Rate
81.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$36(-61.9%)
Whales
7
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast🥇
Entry 50¢·90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $45 · WR 81.1%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 17¢·40 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 16¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 72.2%
M
merod
Entry 7¢·15 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 83.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 4¢·20.1 shares·also $366 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
L
luciebot
Entry 7¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 83.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 15¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 69.2%
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