Tech/AI251 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$2.6K
115 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 49 traders
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
5 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs3 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 23% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $5·NO $15YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-36.7%)
Whales
3
C
cloverpmq2🥇hedged
Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 59.9%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 18¢·25 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 65.8%
H
hithitfar🥉hedged
Entry 2¢·30.6 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$42
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+36.8%)
Whales
3
H
hithitfar🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·30.5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $22 · WR 59.6%
T
title1◆Proven🥈
Entry 81¢·18.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 55.3%
C
cloverpmq2🥉hedged
Entry 20¢·20 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $4 · WR 59.9%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1515ms