Tech/AI251 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
82¢
82% implied
NO Price
18¢
18% implied
Volume
$1.6K
83 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 41 traders
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?
5 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs3 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $52 is directional: YES $40·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$78
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+42.0%)
Whales
6
C
chamillion🥇
Entry 56¢·40 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $23 · WR 86.0%
T
title1🥈hedged
Entry 49¢·40 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $20 · WR 55.3%
M
MrIdiotPigeon🥉
Entry 63¢·19.4 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $12 · WR 63.0%
K
Kronk1hedged
Entry 62¢·16.4 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 55.9%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 68¢·11.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 59.9%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 75¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 73.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-41.9%)
Whales
3
T
title1🥇hedged
Entry 39¢·40 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $16 · WR 55.3%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥈
Entry 22¢·56 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 69.2%
K
Kronk1🥉hedged
Entry 40¢·16.4 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 55.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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