YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$473
88 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 59 traders · 2 on both sides
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 25?
11 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs12 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$110+38 new NO$387
$64 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $32 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $15·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$86
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+2.6%)
Whales
16
T
thanksforplayin🥇hedged
Entry 69¢·50 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $34 · WR 55.6%
W
Worse-Anteater🥈
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $25 · WR 78.9%
R
referralfarmer🥉hedged
Entry 20¢·50 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 60.1%
F
Frail-Item
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 70.9%
G
grasstoucher69
Entry 23¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 58.3%
5
0x583f0572...
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 58.1%
F
0xf0615cd8...
Entry 33¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.8%
F
0xf0bc02ac...
Entry 27¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 60.0%
F
0xf872e3d9...
Entry 33¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
S
season2026
Entry 26¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 55.2%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+1.9%)
Whales
12
R
referralfarmer🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·50 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $37 · WR 60.1%
T
thanksforplayin🥈hedged
Entry 24¢·30.7 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $7 · WR 55.6%
C
cryingbabydicer87🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·9.4 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 63.4%
0
0x045b1e9e...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
9
0x93ae46b6...
Entry 77¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
9
0x9a208069...
Entry 77¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 70.8%
A
0xae0dcf7c...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.1%
0
0x0a222092...
Entry 78¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.7%
3
0x3c703a50...
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 57.1%
5
0x5eec6d4b...
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
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