Tech/AI10 days left
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$1.1K
68 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 36 traders
Best AI model on October 5?
5 MARKETS · $3.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026
89¢−51¢$2.1K3/5Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026−51¢89¢
$2.1K3/5
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026←
12¢+21¢$1.1K4/8Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026←+21¢12¢
$1.1K4/8
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on October 5, 2026
1¢−1¢$3010/4Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on October 5, 2026−1¢1¢
$3010/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%
+3 new YES$40+4 new NO$187
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $98 is directional: YES $80·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$89
Avg Win Rate
57.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-41.5%)
Whales
4
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 28¢·200 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $56 · WR 58.0%
N
NoTeacher🥈
Entry 40¢·60 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $24 · WR 56.1%
B
boofa🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·20 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 58.1%
M
molodoyy
Entry 14¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 64.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$121
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$73(+60.6%)
Whales
6
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 51¢·102 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $52 · WR 89.3%
B
boofa🥈hedged
Entry 63¢·40 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $25 · WR 58.1%
H
highstake.fund🥉
Entry 52¢·40 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $21 · WR 85.7%
P
parameter1
Entry 53¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 61.3%
B
beatrix99
Entry 72¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 85.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 89.0%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 358ms