Politics20 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$10.8K
537 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 124 traders
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
2 MARKETS · $17.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs13 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$641+22 new NO$1.1K
$583 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $988·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$995
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$42(-4.2%)
Whales
12
S
StraddleSeller🥇
Entry 43¢·1,112 shares
Invested
$479
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $479 · WR 66.2%
F
FOW🥈
Entry 48¢·453.6 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $220 · WR 56.1%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 45¢·359 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $161 · WR 55.0%
T
TrangNgo
Entry 56¢·102.6 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $57 · WR 92.3%
A
aliiz
Entry 56¢·53 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $30 · WR 65.1%
S
sweetj
Entry 42¢·48 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 75.0%
4
0x4dc0fae9...
Entry 49¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 66.7%
0
0x079cceef...
Entry 43¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 58.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 50¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 68.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 44¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 68.6%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$821
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$78(+9.4%)
Whales
13
K
korda77🥇
Entry 50¢·607 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $306 · WR 85.2%
M
merod🥈
Entry 54¢·179.1 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $97 · WR 84.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 51¢·184.9 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $95 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 54¢·125.8 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $68 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 53¢·125 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $66 · WR 89.3%
A
akla27
Entry 50¢·72 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $36 · WR 86.6%
Z
zerone777
Entry 50¢·71.4 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $36 · WR 86.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 56¢·56.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $31 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 88.2%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 51¢·44 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $22 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 10 of 13
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