YES Price
90¢
90% implied
NO Price
10¢
10% implied
Volume
$3.4K
267 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 98 traders · 2 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
11 MARKETS · $12.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 16
0¢—$1880/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 16—0¢
$1880/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 16
0¢—$1880/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 16—0¢
$1880/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 16
1¢—$1150/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 16—1¢
$1150/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 16
1¢+49¢$6091/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 16+49¢1¢
$6091/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 16
2¢−2¢$1.2K0/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 16−2¢2¢
$1.2K0/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16
8¢+12¢$2.8K1/4Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16+12¢8¢
$2.8K1/4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16←
90¢−40¢$3.4K1/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16←−40¢90¢
$3.4K1/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16
0¢—$1.6K0/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16—0¢
$1.6K0/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16
1¢—$280/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16—1¢
$280/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs22 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$1.9K+68 new NO$1.4K
$847 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $173 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $23·NO $139YES Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$150(+447.4%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 9¢·176.7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $16 · WR 71.8%
A
Adventurous-Magnet🥈
Entry 87¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 61.7%
H
hk1q1q1q🥉
Entry 50¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 70.6%
A
Alcaraz2026hedged
Entry 55¢·3.7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 57.7%
C
CHENDABAO
Entry 41¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 64.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 9¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $0 · WR 85.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$246
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$170(-69.1%)
Whales
22
L
LSLouis🥇
Entry 44¢·224 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $99 · WR 61.0%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 48¢·120 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $57 · WR 87.5%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 42¢·61.7 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $26 · WR 76.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $13 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 88.8%
T
tribunal
Entry 61¢·13 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $8 · WR 77.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 43¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 12¢·30 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $4 · WR 71.8%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 11¢·28.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 85.9%
S
ShaneLin
Entry 15¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 69.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
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