YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$2.8K
229 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 88 traders · 2 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
11 MARKETS · $12.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 16
0¢—$1880/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 16—0¢
$1880/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 16
0¢—$1880/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 16—0¢
$1880/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 16
1¢—$1150/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 16—1¢
$1150/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 16
1¢+49¢$6091/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 16+49¢1¢
$6091/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 16
2¢−2¢$1.2K0/2Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 16−2¢2¢
$1.2K0/2
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16←
5¢+15¢$2.8K1/4Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 16←+15¢5¢
$2.8K1/4
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16
94¢−44¢$3.3K1/1Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 16−44¢94¢
$3.3K1/1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16
0¢—$1.6K0/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16—0¢
$1.6K0/0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16
1¢—$280/0Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16—1¢
$280/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs17 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+45 new YES$621+47 new NO$1.9K
$599 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $80 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $28·NO $47YES Team
Total Invested
$158
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$124(-78.5%)
Whales
8
M
metwrong🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·177 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$127
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $127 · WR 58.2%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 9¢·146.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 71.8%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant🥉
Entry 25¢·40.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 57.7%
C
Careful-Bunchhedged
Entry 14¢·18.6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 55.5%
A
Alcaraz2026hedged
Entry 33¢·6.2 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.7%
S
sukunashiv
Entry 30¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.4%
F
Fat-Wall
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 77.4%
A
alphapixelclima
Entry 20¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 64.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$417
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$352(+84.5%)
Whales
17
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 53¢·182 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $96 · WR 85.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 65¢·93 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $61 · WR 87.7%
M
metwrong🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·177 shares·also $127 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$116
+$116INV $52 · WR 58.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $45 · WR 88.8%
D
drcrcn3
Entry 72¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $43 · WR 74.8%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 50¢·57.8 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $29 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 63¢·35 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $22 · WR 87.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·41.6 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $21 · WR 79.2%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 50¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 58.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 17
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