Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$7.1K
295 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 104 traders
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $13.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs15 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$2.2K+28 new NO$142
$99 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $1.9K·NO $36YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$442(+22.4%)
Whales
9
J
johnsalchichon🥇
Entry 94¢·971 shares
Invested
$915
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $915 · WR 68.2%
J
johnpudricion🥈
Entry 95¢·806.6 shares
Invested
$769
Win Rate
95.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $769 · WR 95.5%
G
GamGanapati🥉
Entry 94¢·176.5 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $166 · WR 71.6%
C
CircuitBoardA
Entry 17¢·291.7 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$226
+$226INV $49 · WR 65.7%
S
sweetj
Entry 21¢·230.1 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $47 · WR 74.4%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 85¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 68.5%
E
Esteemed-Conduct
Entry 79¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 55.0%
A
aliiz
Entry 17¢·42.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $7 · WR 64.9%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 7¢·29 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $2 · WR 62.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$122
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$52(-42.7%)
Whales
15
S
Shallow-Diadem🥇
Entry 8¢·438.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $36 · WR 59.9%
A
Antony82🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·29 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $26 · WR 62.8%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 8¢·169.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 60.2%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 7¢·154.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 60.3%
C
C.PM
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 85.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 8¢·94.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 60.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 6¢·109.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 88.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 7¢·60 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 87.0%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 8¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.2%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 6¢·29.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 10 of 15
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 37ms