15 days left
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?
YES Price
75¢
75% implied
NO Price
25¢
25% implied
Volume
$7.9K
381 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 115 traders · 1 on both sides
Reserve Bank of India decision in October
5 MARKETS · $20.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs14 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$1.1K+38 new NO$1.1K
$442 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$46 of $375 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $270·NO $59YES Team
Total Invested
$486
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$90(+18.6%)
Whales
7
F
firegold🥇
Entry 83¢·200 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $166 · WR 60.1%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 71¢·169 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $120 · WR 67.6%
D
DuneMentat🥉
Entry 44¢·220 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $97 · WR 72.7%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 54¢·99.5 shares·also $43 on NO
Invested
$54
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $54 · WR 65.2%
A
anonymoususer10hedged
Entry 33¢·70 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $23 · WR 70.9%
2
0x209e1824...
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 84.1%
F
Futiandida
Entry 35¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $7 · WR 55.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$666
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$281(-42.2%)
Whales
14
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·363.3 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $182 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 55¢·210 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $115 · WR 85.3%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 48¢·167.4 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $81 · WR 86.2%
A
anonymoususer10hedged
Entry 35¢·203.6 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $71 · WR 70.9%
M
merod
Entry 38¢·184 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $70 · WR 83.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 44¢·144.8 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $64 · WR 79.2%
M
maomao228hedged
Entry 46¢·94.2 shares·also $54 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $43 · WR 65.2%
K
kimberlyweaver
Entry 71¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
90.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 90.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 61¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 89.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 54¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 88.1%
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