34 days left
Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$2.4K
140 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 53 traders · 1 on both sides
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?
5 MARKETS · $9.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Otzma Yehudit win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections
18¢+26¢$9444/5Will Otzma Yehudit win less than 4.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections+26¢18¢
$9444/5
Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections←
41¢+5¢$2.4K6/7Will Otzma Yehudit win 4.5-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections←+5¢41¢
$2.4K6/7
Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections
37¢+20¢$9078/6Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections+20¢37¢
$9078/6
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$421+5 new NO$782
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $590 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $244·NO $335YES Team
Total Invested
$250
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$69(-27.6%)
Whales
5
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 33¢·516.7 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $169 · WR 55.6%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 42¢·145.2 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $61 · WR 77.6%
M
melonmanm◆Proven🥉
Entry 19¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 70.0%
Q
qcp2hedged
Entry 27¢·21.4 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 65.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 72.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$574
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-1.0%)
Whales
7
M
MultiQuant24hAgent🥇
Entry 67¢·500 shares
Invested
$335
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $335 · WR 76.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 86¢·225 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $193 · WR 89.1%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·61.2 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $31 · WR 79.4%
Q
qcp2hedged
Entry 66¢·8 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 65.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 66.5%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·7.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 82.1%
M
mapleggg
Entry 35¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 86.0%
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