6 days left
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$10.3K
337 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 118 traders
Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner
2 MARKETS · $16.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs24 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$3.2K+36 new NO$325
$34 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.9K is directional: YES $2.9K·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$323(+10.7%)
Whales
8
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 91¢·3,045.2 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $2.8K · WR 76.7%
C
chocolatepudding🥈hedged
Entry 29¢·361.3 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$230
+$230INV $106 · WR 57.1%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥉
Entry 86¢·100 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $86 · WR 72.8%
G
Gruesome-Loyalty
Entry 84¢·29 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $24 · WR 57.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 84¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 69.5%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 69.9%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 64¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 63.0%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 24¢·10 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $2 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$531
Avg Win Rate
64.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$413(-77.7%)
Whales
24
C
chocolatepudding🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·361.3 shares·also $106 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $360 · WR 57.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 14¢·314.2 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $44 · WR 79.4%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 11¢·109 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $13 · WR 75.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 9¢·125 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 15¢·75 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $12 · WR 88.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 18¢·50 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 87.6%
K
klli27
Entry 11¢·79.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 86.6%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 88¢·10 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 59.6%
P
pollo07
Entry 11¢·77.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 85.7%
Z
zerone777
Entry 11¢·71.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 84.6%
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