Politics33 days left
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$279
36 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 21 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
40 MARKETS · $24.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre
0¢0¢$3500/6Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre0¢0¢
$3500/6
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas
0¢0¢$4760/6Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas0¢0¢
$4760/6
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas
0¢+22¢$8362/7Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas+22¢0¢
$8362/7
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá
1¢−1¢$1.1K0/11Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá−1¢1¢
$1.1K0/11
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia
0¢+67¢$3832/1Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia+67¢0¢
$3832/1
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará
0¢+50¢$4671/1Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará+50¢0¢
$4671/1
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District
0¢+43¢$2.0K9/12Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District+43¢0¢
$2.0K9/12
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo
0¢+17¢$8651/5Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo+17¢0¢
$8651/5
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás
0¢+83¢$1.5K19/4Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás+83¢0¢
$1.5K19/4
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão
0¢+33¢$5571/2Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão+33¢0¢
$5571/2
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais
0¢+40¢$1.1K6/9Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais+40¢0¢
$1.1K6/9
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul
0¢+14¢$3031/6Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul+14¢0¢
$3031/6
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso
0¢0¢$3270/4Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso0¢0¢
$3270/4
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará
0¢+29¢$5754/10Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará+29¢0¢
$5754/10
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba
0¢0¢$4310/2Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba0¢0¢
$4310/2
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco
0¢+25¢$3241/3Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco+25¢0¢
$3241/3
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí
0¢0¢$4370/3Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí0¢0¢
$4370/3
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná
0¢+14¢$3501/6Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná+14¢0¢
$3501/6
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro
0¢+61¢$1.1K11/7Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro+61¢0¢
$1.1K11/7
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte
0¢0¢$3220/2Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte0¢0¢
$3220/2
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia
0¢0¢$5450/2Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia0¢0¢
$5450/2
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima
0¢+60¢$4483/2Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima+60¢0¢
$4483/2
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul
0¢+50¢$8585/5Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul+50¢0¢
$8585/5
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina
0¢0¢$2700/5Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina0¢0¢
$2700/5
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe
0¢+36¢$5224/7Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe+36¢0¢
$5224/7
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo
0¢+83¢$88210/2Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo+83¢0¢
$88210/2
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins
0¢+45¢$1.2K5/6Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins+45¢0¢
$1.2K5/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
93¢−49¢$2.5K4/5Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−49¢93¢
$2.5K4/5
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
6¢+44¢$3713/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election+44¢6¢
$3713/3
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$3590/1Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$3590/1
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election←
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election←−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
0¢0¢$4770/1Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election0¢0¢
$4770/1
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2590/2Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2590/2
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2590/2Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2590/2
Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2590/2Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2590/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs6 NO
100%
100% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+12 new YES$3+10 new NO$402
0 smart whales6 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
0.0%
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$191
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$181(+95.2%)
Whales
6
K
korda77🥇
Entry 100¢·54 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $54 · WR 85.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 100¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $46 · WR 87.9%
S
suhail-friend-account4🥉
Entry 100¢·40.8 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $41 · WR 85.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 84.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 89.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 89.4%
S
suhail-friend-account4
Entry 0¢·43.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $0 · WR 85.8%
K
korda77
Entry 0¢·54 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $0 · WR 85.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 0¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $0 · WR 87.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 0¢·30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $0 · WR 84.7%
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