Politics33 days left
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$2.5K
133 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 58 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
40 MARKETS · $121.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre
1¢−1¢$3200/6Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Acre−1¢1¢
$3200/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas
96¢−56¢$7.0K4/6Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas−56¢96¢
$7.0K4/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas
64¢−39¢$6.2K3/9Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas−39¢64¢
$6.2K3/9
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá
66¢−66¢$3.6K0/9Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá−66¢66¢
$3.6K0/9
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia
99¢−32¢$5.0K8/4Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia−32¢99¢
$5.0K8/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará
97¢−22¢$7.7K6/2Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará−22¢97¢
$7.7K6/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District
16¢+4¢$10.3K6/24Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District+4¢16¢
$10.3K6/24
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo
6¢+19¢$5151/3Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo+19¢6¢
$5151/3
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás
2¢+31¢$6.4K9/18Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás+31¢2¢
$6.4K9/18
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão
96¢−46¢$4.9K4/4Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Maranhão−46¢96¢
$4.9K4/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais
87¢−71¢$6.4K4/21Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais−71¢87¢
$6.4K4/21
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul
2¢−2¢$4900/8Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul−2¢2¢
$4900/8
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso
3¢−3¢$1.3K0/5Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso−3¢3¢
$1.3K0/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará
95¢−51¢$8.1K11/14Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará−51¢95¢
$8.1K11/14
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba
95¢−45¢$4.2K3/3Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba−45¢95¢
$4.2K3/3
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco
96¢−52¢$5.6K4/5Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco−52¢96¢
$5.6K4/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí
97¢−47¢$6.6K5/5Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí−47¢97¢
$6.6K5/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná
5¢+8¢$2651/7Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná+8¢5¢
$2651/7
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro
16¢+2¢$5.9K3/14Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro+2¢16¢
$5.9K3/14
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte
97¢−40¢$2.8K4/3Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte−40¢97¢
$2.8K4/3
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia
0¢0¢$6310/3Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia0¢0¢
$6310/3
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima
2¢+15¢$5931/5Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima+15¢2¢
$5931/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul
18¢+15¢$2.1K6/12Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul+15¢18¢
$2.1K6/12
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina
1¢−1¢$2800/5Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina−1¢1¢
$2800/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe
97¢−59¢$7.4K5/8Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe−59¢97¢
$7.4K5/8
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo
21¢−11¢$6.4K2/19Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo−11¢21¢
$6.4K2/19
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins
65¢−40¢$4.4K5/15Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins−40¢65¢
$4.4K5/15
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election←
93¢−49¢$2.5K4/5Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election←−49¢93¢
$2.5K4/5
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
6¢+44¢$3713/3Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election+44¢6¢
$3713/3
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$3590/1Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$3590/1
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2790/1Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2790/1
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
0¢0¢$4770/1Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election0¢0¢
$4770/1
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2590/2Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2590/2
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2590/2Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2590/2
Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election
1¢−1¢$2590/2Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election−1¢1¢
$2590/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs14 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%
+26 new YES$2.3K+41 new NO$237
4 smart whales15 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-0.3%)
Whales
5
R
RenanPresidente.🥇
Entry 93¢·754.3 shares
Invested
$700
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $700 · WR 76.9%
L
LulaPapuda🥈
Entry 94¢·573.1 shares
Invested
$537
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $537 · WR 76.5%
A
aliiz🥉
Entry 88¢·3.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 68.9%
E
0xe19ea5b8...
Entry 94¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 3¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 87.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$170
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$126(-74.2%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 90¢·80 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $72 · WR 71.7%
W
wert4🥈
Entry 90¢·39.1 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $35 · WR 67.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 9¢·119.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 71.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 92¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 85.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 88.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 90¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 57.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 9¢·60 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 79.5%
W
wert4
Entry 10¢·39.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 67.1%
K
korda77
Entry 7¢·54 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 85.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 89.6%
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