Politics17 days left
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$6.5K
265 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 91 traders
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
5 MARKETS · $17.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Dylan Marando win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
0¢0¢$9610/13Will Dylan Marando win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election0¢0¢
$9610/13
Will Eric Lombardi win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
0¢+25¢$5532/6Will Eric Lombardi win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election+25¢0¢
$5532/6
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election←
57¢−28¢$6.5K5/12Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election←−28¢57¢
$6.5K5/12
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+2 new YES$49+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $391 is directional: YES $334·NO $57YES Team
Total Invested
$342
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+7.3%)
Whales
5
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥇
Entry 51¢·643.9 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $325 · WR 75.8%
A
Antony82🥈hedged
Entry 79¢·10 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 62.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 48¢·11.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 68.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 43¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 68.6%
F
Flobzzito
Entry 58¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$800
Avg Win Rate
80.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+4.2%)
Whales
12
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 36¢·624.5 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $228 · WR 72.0%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 47¢·470 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $223 · WR 87.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 37¢·478.1 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $177 · WR 87.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 70¢·81.3 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $57 · WR 65.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 35¢·84 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $29 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·58 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $29 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 33¢·85 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $28 · WR 88.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $16 · WR 66.6%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 55¢·10 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 62.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 36¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 84.3%
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