Politics17 days left
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$7.2K
370 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 103 traders
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
5 MARKETS · $17.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Dylan Marando win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
0¢0¢$9610/13Will Dylan Marando win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election0¢0¢
$9610/13
Will Eric Lombardi win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
0¢+25¢$5532/6Will Eric Lombardi win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election+25¢0¢
$5532/6
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election
57¢−28¢$6.5K5/12Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election−28¢57¢
$6.5K5/12
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Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%
+1 new YES$7+1 new NO$24
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $368 is directional: YES $171·NO $197YES Team
Total Invested
$171
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$41(+24.0%)
Whales
6
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 45¢·331.2 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $150 · WR 56.4%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥈
Entry 35¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 72.7%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 4¢·180 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $6 · WR 79.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 5¢·85.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $4 · WR 87.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 46¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 68.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 5¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 82.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$155(+15.5%)
Whales
14
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 53¢·470 shares
Invested
$249
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $249 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 62¢·389 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $243 · WR 72.0%
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥉
Entry 63¢·223 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $141 · WR 75.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·240 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $120 · WR 69.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 57¢·199.2 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $113 · WR 88.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·108 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $54 · WR 85.8%
W
wisechinaman◆Proven
Entry 62¢·79.5 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $49 · WR 58.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 66.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 64¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 84.3%
K
korda77
Entry 38¢·15 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 85.3%
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