YES Price
76ยข
76% implied
NO Price
24ยข
24% implied
Volume
$5.1K
299 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 89 traders
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?
5 MARKETS ยท $17.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September
0ยข+12ยข$6.1K2/15Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September+12ยข0ยข
$6.1K2/15
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in Septemberโ
76ยขโ41ยข$5.1K6/11Will Claude go down 5-7 times in Septemberโโ41ยข76ยข
$5.1K6/11
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September
21ยขโ3ยข$2.7K2/9Will Claude go down 8-10 times in Septemberโ3ยข21ยข
$2.7K2/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars ยท 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%ยท net of hedges
+13 new YES$777+32 new NO$346
$139 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers โ left out of momentum
1 smart whale8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $432 is directional: YES $31ยทNO $401YES Team
Total Invested
$353
Avg Win Rate
57.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$134(+38.1%)
Whales
6
R
Redeemm๐ฅ
Entry 61ยขยท529.2 shares
Invested
$322
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $322 ยท WR 55.4%
D
donthackme๐ฅ
Entry 20ยขยท64.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $13 ยท WR 87.7%
W
wert4๐ฅ
Entry 41ยขยท21.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 ยท WR 65.6%
H
hamid1919
Entry 75ยขยท6.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 ยท WR 70.8%
H
highstake.sport
Entry 20ยขยท17 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3 ยท WR 85.8%
M
Maximus374
Entry 28ยขยท2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 ยท WR 72.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$643
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$372(-57.9%)
Whales
11
W
Witty-Birch๐ฅ
Entry 79ยขยท259.7 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $204 ยท WR 64.1%
M
ms1910๐ฅ
Entry 61ยขยท270.9 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $166 ยท WR 58.1%
L
Lucerys๐ฅ
Entry 43ยขยท202 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $87 ยท WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 33ยขยท160 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $52 ยท WR 87.5%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50ยขยท90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $45 ยท WR 68.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 78ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $31 ยท WR 88.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 21ยขยท100 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 ยท WR 72.0%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 79ยขยท12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 ยท WR 56.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 ยท WR 88.7%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 72ยขยท12 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 ยท WR 69.5%
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