YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.8K
185 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 81 traders
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?
5 MARKETS · $16.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September←
1¢+11¢$5.8K2/15Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September←+11¢1¢
$5.8K2/15
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September
76¢−41¢$5.1K6/11Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September−41¢76¢
$5.1K6/11
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September
21¢−3¢$2.7K2/9Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September−3¢21¢
$2.7K2/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs16 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$114+37 new NO$4.0K
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $628 is directional: YES $24·NO $603YES Team
Total Invested
$24
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-98.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$420(+36.6%)
Whales
16
M
ms1910🥇
Entry 93¢·292.9 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $273 · WR 58.1%
T
tja🥈
Entry 94¢·266 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $251 · WR 74.4%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 58¢·242.3 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $141 · WR 87.7%
R
Realuser
Entry 100¢·84 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
94.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $84 · WR 94.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 64¢·120 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $77 · WR 85.3%
H
highstake.sport
Entry 50¢·145.8 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $73 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 87.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·78.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $39 · WR 79.2%
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