Geopolitics16 days left
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$2.9K
119 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 45 traders
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?
2 MARKETS · $9.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs6 NO
46%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%
+2 new YES$9+1 new NO$62
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $329 is directional: YES $36·NO $293YES Team
Total Invested
$41
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+7.0%)
Whales
5
O
Oskoreiter🥇
Entry 35¢·46 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $16 · WR 55.3%
M
melonmanm🥈
Entry 10¢·98.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $10 · WR 70.1%
R
romanew-1-new🥉
Entry 28¢·22.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 65.3%
N
nicolasGurr
Entry 23¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.4%
R
romanew-crypto
Entry 28¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 67.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$293
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-8.5%)
Whales
6
L
LetMeBeYourValentine🥇
Entry 85¢·165.8 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $141 · WR 75.5%
C
Cattail🥈
Entry 89¢·112 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $99 · WR 67.1%
T
TronOG🥉
Entry 78¢·60 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $47 · WR 77.0%
B
big-bird1
Entry 90¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 67.8%
C
0xcdadf797...
Entry 90¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
V
vino1234
Entry 72¢·0.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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