YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$5.4K
135 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 68 traders
Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?
4 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes←
32¢+6¢$5.4K5/8Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes←+6¢32¢
$5.4K5/8
Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes
20¢+22¢$3.4K5/7Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes+22¢20¢
$3.4K5/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$380+17 new NO$1.0K
$358 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $874 is directional: YES $68·NO $807YES Team
Total Invested
$72
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+36.3%)
Whales
5
N
neverhackme🥇
Entry 26¢·105.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $28 · WR 76.5%
W
whumpa🥈
Entry 31¢·75.9 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 62.7%
S
Shy-Note🥉
Entry 20¢·49 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 59.2%
R
Railcool
Entry 15¢·47 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $7 · WR 58.8%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 26¢·19 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
79.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$25(+2.4%)
Whales
12
S
SatisfiedQuadrant🥇
Entry 70¢·951.7 shares
Invested
$669
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $669 · WR 80.2%
M
midturn🥈
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $80 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 50¢·159.5 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $80 · WR 79.5%
C
conherence
Entry 70¢·98 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $68 · WR 59.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $40 · WR 89.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 75¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 88.2%
C
ColomboHex
Entry 84¢·30 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $25 · WR 66.6%
P
PeterStuyvesant
Entry 88¢·27.6 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $24 · WR 70.8%
T
TheOne777
Entry 80¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 76.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 88.2%
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