12 days left

Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$2.6K

119 trades

Smart Whales

18

of 48 traders

Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?

4 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes

32¢+6¢$5.4K5/8

Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes+6¢32¢

Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes

20¢+22¢$3.4K5/7

Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes+22¢20¢

Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes

48¢+2¢$3.7K5/5

Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes+2¢48¢

Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes←

5¢+13¢$2.6K2/9

Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes←+13¢5¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs16 NO

11%89%

89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%

+11 new YES$63+6 new NO$462

2 smart whales5 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $282 is directional: YES $51·NO $231

YES Team

Total Invested

$51

Avg Win Rate

58.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$8(-15.6%)

Whales

2

Entry 10¢·457 shares

$-7INV $46 · WR 57.9%

Entry 9¢·49 shares

$-0INV $5 · WR 59.2%

NO Team

Total Invested

$899

Avg Win Rate

74.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$517(+57.5%)

Whales

16

JustClickeverywhere🥇

Entry 55¢·473.5 shares

+$191INV $258 · WR 79.5%

Entry 77¢·237 shares

+$44INV $181 · WR 56.5%

Entry 89¢·150.7 shares

+$3INV $135 · WR 66.6%

Entry 50¢·160 shares

+$72INV $80 · WR 85.8%

Entry 60¢·80 shares

+$28INV $48 · WR 88.2%

Entry 93¢·50 shares

$-1INV $47 · WR 88.9%

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$36INV $40 · WR 88.2%

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$36INV $40 · WR 87.4%

Entry 92¢·40 shares

$-0INV $37 · WR 62.7%

Entry 89¢·12 shares

+$0INV $11 · WR 55.8%

Showing top 10 of 16

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