Politics9 days left
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$8.9K
326 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 107 traders
Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner
5 MARKETS · $18.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election←
52¢−12¢$8.9K14/21Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election←−12¢52¢
$8.9K14/21
Will Chris Rees win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election
0¢+29¢$5744/10Will Chris Rees win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election+29¢0¢
$5744/10
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election
48¢−28¢$7.4K5/20Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election−28¢48¢
$7.4K5/20
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs23 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 55%
+8 new YES$344+15 new NO$421
1 smart whale3 smart whales
YES Team94 traders
Total Invested
$849
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$186(+22.0%)
Whales
13
A
abdkxrhxr🥇
Entry 46¢·1,026.4 shares
Invested
$475
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $475 · WR 71.6%
S
StraddleSeller🥈
Entry 36¢·749.2 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $270 · WR 69.1%
F
0xf453ae1b...🥉
Entry 53¢·96.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $51 · WR 59.6%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 44¢·54.7 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $24 · WR 56.7%
R
rizaSZN
Entry 40¢·40 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $16 · WR 55.7%
2
0x2550ae9d...
Entry 64¢·6.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 75.0%
P
PPMT
Entry 48¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
R
Rocamado
Entry 68¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 91.6%
S
Skallarap2
Entry 69¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.4%
R
RedFoxxie
Entry 45¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.9%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team94 traders
Total Invested
$778
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$273(+36.9%)
Whales
23
A
Anon321321🥇
Entry 34¢·471.4 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $162 · WR 86.3%
S
StraddleSeller🥈
Entry 22¢·727.7 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$188
+$188INV $161 · WR 69.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 45¢·190 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $86 · WR 79.5%
M
Mysaria
Entry 50¢·137.1 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $69 · WR 89.3%
V
vitalik-butterplug
Entry 51¢·71.3 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $36 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 51¢·69.6 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $35 · WR 87.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 40¢·80 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $32 · WR 89.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 45¢·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $23 · WR 79.5%
M
Mysaria
Entry 45¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 89.3%
V
vitalik-butterplug
Entry 45¢·40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 23
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 134ms