Politics9 days left
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$7.4K
363 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 97 traders
Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner
5 MARKETS · $18.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election
52¢−12¢$8.9K14/21Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election−12¢52¢
$8.9K14/21
Will Chris Rees win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election
0¢+29¢$5744/10Will Chris Rees win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election+29¢0¢
$5744/10
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election←
47¢−27¢$7.4K5/20Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election←−27¢47¢
$7.4K5/20
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs19 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%
+5 new YES$231+4 new NO$298
2 smart whales1 smart whale
YES Team82 traders
Total Invested
$400
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+2.8%)
Whales
5
A
abdkxrhxr🥇
Entry 43¢·500 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $215 · WR 71.6%
P
plumbis🥈
Entry 79¢·103.6 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $82 · WR 57.1%
S
StraddleSeller🥉
Entry 33¢·140 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $46 · WR 69.1%
K
KimchiCapital
Entry 56¢·82.6 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $46 · WR 80.8%
C
CosmicCedar
Entry 18¢·54.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $10 · WR 89.5%
NO Team82 traders
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$146(+12.2%)
Whales
19
A
abdkxrhxr🥇
Entry 56¢·516.7 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $289 · WR 71.6%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 49¢·310 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $152 · WR 79.5%
M
Mysaria🥉
Entry 50¢·186.1 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $94 · WR 89.3%
A
Anon321321
Entry 19¢·471.4 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $90 · WR 86.3%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 71¢·114.8 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $81 · WR 56.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 51¢·139.9 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $71 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 71¢·80 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $57 · WR 88.9%
V
vitalik-butterplug
Entry 48¢·98 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $47 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 49¢·89.2 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $44 · WR 79.2%
R
Rocamado
Entry 69¢·60 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
91.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $41 · WR 91.6%
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