Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$8.9K
259 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 115 traders
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout
8 MARKETS · $47.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more
1¢+6¢$2.5K1/14Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be 490,000 or more+6¢1¢
$2.5K1/14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 310,000 and 340,000
5¢−5¢$2.6K0/15Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 310,000 and 340,000−5¢5¢
$2.6K0/15
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000←
15¢+13¢$8.9K7/18Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 340,000 and 370,000←+13¢15¢
$8.9K7/18
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000
76¢−52¢$10.6K5/16Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000−52¢76¢
$10.6K5/16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000
1¢+21¢$5.4K4/14Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000+21¢1¢
$5.4K4/14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000
1¢+16¢$12.1K3/15Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 430,000 and 460,000+16¢1¢
$12.1K3/15
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs18 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 55% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $265 is directional: YES $145·NO $120YES Team
Total Invested
$145
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$50(-34.9%)
Whales
7
L
longliveapples◆Proven🥇
Entry 36¢·311.2 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $113 · WR 60.9%
H
Honest-Surprise🥈
Entry 75¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 70.1%
P
psyduckler🥉
Entry 44¢·21.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 75.7%
C
catalanpaths
Entry 8¢·112.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 66.3%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER
Entry 3¢·39.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 66.7%
5
5ps
Entry 44¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.9%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 2¢·28 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$610
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+0.8%)
Whales
18
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 86¢·120 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $103 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 95¢·89 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $84 · WR 87.5%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 52¢·132.4 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $69 · WR 55.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 80¢·76.8 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $62 · WR 87.6%
J
johnpudricion
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $50 · WR 96.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 92¢·52.4 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $48 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $37 · WR 87.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 98¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $29 · WR 86.1%
K
kjfghxd
Entry 89¢·29 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $26 · WR 85.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 92¢·25 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 79.6%
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