Politics1 days left
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be less than 10,500,000?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$3.0K
169 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 62 traders
California Governor Election: Turnout
10 MARKETS · $32.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be 14,500,000 or more
12¢−12¢$1.3K0/11Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be 14,500,000 or more−12¢12¢
$1.3K0/11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 10,500,000 and 11,000,000
7¢+1¢$4.2K1/12Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 10,500,000 and 11,000,000+1¢7¢
$4.2K1/12
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000
17¢−9¢$1.6K1/11Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,000,000 and 11,500,000−9¢17¢
$1.6K1/11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,500,000 and 12,000,000
25¢−16¢$1.5K1/10Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 11,500,000 and 12,000,000−16¢25¢
$1.5K1/10
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000
21¢−13¢$2.7K1/12Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000−13¢21¢
$2.7K1/12
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000
18¢+5¢$8.9K3/10Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000+5¢18¢
$8.9K3/10
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000
8¢+3¢$5.9K1/8Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,000,000 and 13,500,000+3¢8¢
$5.9K1/8
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000
11¢+6¢$2.0K2/10Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 13,500,000 and 14,000,000+6¢11¢
$2.0K2/10
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$3+1 new NO$10
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $6·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+157.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$493
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$134(+27.2%)
Whales
12
M
musicenthusiast🥇
Entry 85¢·217 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $185 · WR 59.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 71¢·153.7 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $109 · WR 88.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 77¢·90 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $70 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 98¢·38.7 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $38 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 88.7%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 87.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 63¢·19 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $12 · WR 89.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 88.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.3%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 95¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 61.5%
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