Politics9 days left
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$10.9K
485 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 145 traders
Federal District Governor Election Winner
10 MARKETS · $21.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs14 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$863+16 new NO$126
$78 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $429 is directional: YES $426·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$700
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$222(+31.8%)
Whales
11
A
archaic🥇
Entry 87¢·212.9 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $185 · WR 87.1%
P
PachaKutiq🥈
Entry 89¢·200.4 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $179 · WR 62.3%
H
hopeyouhavingfun🥉
Entry 46¢·166.9 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $76 · WR 64.9%
6
65765757
Entry 50¢·147.6 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $74 · WR 78.8%
I
Impeccable-Dollophedged
Entry 62¢·105.9 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$66
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $66 · WR 72.6%
U
UbuntuTradinghedged
Entry 97¢·60 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $58 · WR 66.4%
I
InterestingUser
Entry 81¢·57.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $47 · WR 64.5%
H
hamid1919
Entry 91¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 70.8%
R
Rr55
Entry 75¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 73.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 3¢·40 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $1 · WR 79.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$476
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$369(-77.7%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 46¢·400 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-149
$-149INV $183 · WR 72.0%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $85 · WR 89.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·169.8 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $85 · WR 87.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 32¢·140 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $45 · WR 87.5%
I
Impeccable-Dollophedged
Entry 25¢·105.9 shares·also $66 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $26 · WR 72.6%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $16 · WR 76.8%
U
UbuntuTradinghedged
Entry 17¢·60 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 66.4%
F
fgfkjytyjt
Entry 21¢·47 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 58.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 11¢·40 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 20¢·21.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 89.1%
Showing top 10 of 14
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