Politics9 days left
Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$2.8K
126 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 55 traders
Federal District Governor Election Winner
10 MARKETS · $21.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+13 new YES$31+6 new NO$674
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19 is directional: YES $5·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-78.7%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$266
Avg Win Rate
85.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$447(+168.0%)
Whales
9
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·169.8 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $85 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 85.4%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $40 · WR 85.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·50 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $40 · WR 87.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 77¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $31 · WR 79.4%
A
Admirable-Hobby
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $16 · WR 81.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 90¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 88.7%
A
AllYouNeedBTC
Entry 2¢·62.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $1 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 0¢·199.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$194
+$194INV $0 · WR 72.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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