Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$853
62 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 46 traders · 1 on both sides
SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $17.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $42 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $38·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-93.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
79.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$119(+74.4%)
Whales
10
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 99¢·50.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 90¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $36 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 87¢·26 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $23 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 79.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 89.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 85¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.7%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 99¢·1.9 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 77.1%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·87.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $0 · WR 77.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $0 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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