Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.0K
154 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 81 traders · 1 on both sides
SC-07 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $17.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$10 of $15 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-83.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$107
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$112(+104.8%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $31 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 79.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $11 · WR 87.5%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 82¢·8.7 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 77.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 68¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 88.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 85¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 81¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.2%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 191¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 56.0%
P
phcrux1
Entry 69¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
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