Politics8 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

6¢

6% implied

NO Price

94¢

94% implied

Volume

$570

38 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 26 traders

PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

4¢−4¢$3950/4

by 0%-5%−4¢4¢

3¢−3¢$3900/3

by 10%-15%−3¢3¢

28¢−28¢$3.6K0/5

by 15%-20%−28¢28¢

21¢−4¢$4.9K1/5

by 20%-25%−4¢21¢

20¢−6¢$3.8K1/6

by 25%-30%−6¢20¢

7¢+13¢$6061/4

by 30%-35%+13¢7¢

5¢+15¢$3871/4

by 35% or more+15¢5¢

5¢−5¢$3410/4

by 5%-10%−5¢5¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election←

6¢−6¢$5700/4

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election←−6¢6¢

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Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs4 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$8+4 new NO$108

$6 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $49 is directional: YES $0·NO $49

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$119

Avg Win Rate

84.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$42(+35.1%)

Whales

4

Entry 96¢·50.7 shares

$-2INV $49 · WR 79.3%

quietparcel🥈

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$36INV $40 · WR 88.6%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 100¢·20 shares

$-1INV $20 · WR 86.1%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 89.2%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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