Politics8 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election by 35% or more?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$387

38 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 25 traders

PA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $15.0K MATCHED

Smart Money

by 35% or more←

5¢+15¢$3871/4

by 35% or more←+15¢5¢

7¢+13¢$6061/4

by 30%-35%+13¢7¢

20¢−6¢$3.8K1/6

by 25%-30%−6¢20¢

21¢−4¢$4.9K1/5

by 20%-25%−4¢21¢

28¢−28¢$3.6K0/5

by 15%-20%−28¢28¢

3¢−3¢$3900/3

by 10%-15%−3¢3¢

5¢−5¢$3410/4

by 5%-10%−5¢5¢

4¢−4¢$3950/4

by 0%-5%−4¢4¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election

6¢−6¢$5700/4

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-06 House election−6¢6¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs4 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

74.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-55.1%)

Whales

1

Entry 10¢·9.6 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 74.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$47

Avg Win Rate

84.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$26(+54.5%)

Whales

4

smallreceipt🥇

Entry 99¢·20 shares

$-1INV $20 · WR 88.8%

Entry 98¢·17.8 shares

$-0INV $17 · WR 79.3%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 86.1%

Entry 0¢·18.7 shares

+$18INV $0 · WR 88.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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