Politics8 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 20%-25%?

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YES Price

20¢

20% implied

NO Price

80¢

80% implied

Volume

$4.6K

236 trades

Smart Whales

14

of 79 traders

PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $22.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

3¢−3¢$9330/9

by 40% or more−3¢3¢

6¢−6¢$1.1K0/11

by 35%-40%−6¢6¢

22¢−15¢$5.2K1/14

by 30%-35%−15¢22¢

25¢−25¢$5.8K0/12

by 25%-30%−25¢25¢

20¢+1¢$4.6K3/11

by 20%-25%←+1¢20¢

9¢0¢$2.4K1/10

by 15%-20%0¢9¢

4¢+7¢$1.1K1/8

by 10%-15%+7¢4¢

by 0%-10%0¢0¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election0¢0¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs11 NO

21%79%

79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges

+1 new YES$10+2 new NO$66

$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$24

Avg Win Rate

67.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$12(-49.9%)

Whales

3

garbagecollect4🥇

Entry 64¢·22 shares

$-10INV $14 · WR 68.8%

Entry 33¢·20 shares

$-2INV $7 · WR 69.9%

just-bettor🥉

Entry 24¢·13.1 shares

$-0INV $3 · WR 56.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$391

Avg Win Rate

80.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$162(+41.6%)

Whales

11

melchior1248🥇

Entry 52¢·199.5 shares

+$57INV $104 · WR 69.6%

godblessme2026🥈

Entry 54¢·161 shares

+$43INV $87 · WR 88.0%

Entry 56¢·91.1 shares

+$22INV $51 · WR 79.3%

Entry 72¢·60 shares

+$5INV $43 · WR 86.0%

Entry 65¢·40 shares

+$6INV $26 · WR 79.5%

Entry 60¢·40.3 shares

+$8INV $24 · WR 87.6%

Entry 70¢·20 shares

+$2INV $14 · WR 85.9%

Entry 56¢·24 shares

+$6INV $13 · WR 89.2%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 66.5%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$6INV $10 · WR 88.8%

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