Politics8 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-12 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$5.2K
288 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 92 traders
PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $22.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$103+16 new NO$265
$117 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $261 is directional: YES $0·NO $261YES Team
Total Invested
$17
Avg Win Rate
56.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-47.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$636
Avg Win Rate
88.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$104(+16.3%)
Whales
14
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 72¢·350 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $251 · WR 100.0%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 92¢·100 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $92 · WR 72.0%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $50 · WR 86.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 82¢·55.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $46 · WR 79.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $40 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 92¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $37 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 56¢·60 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $33 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 88.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 65¢·21 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $14 · WR 88.0%
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