Politics4 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$6.0K
345 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 91 traders
PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $27.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$162+12 new NO$379
$185 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19 is directional: YES $19·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-12.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$110
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$56(+50.6%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 61¢·110 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $67 · WR 71.9%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled🥈
Entry 50¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $13 · WR 79.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $12 · WR 85.9%
A
AmericaFirst1
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 58.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 66.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 69¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 88.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 84.5%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1292ms