Politics4 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$1.7K
104 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 47 traders
PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $27.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs8 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$12+2 new NO$62
$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6 is directional: YES $6·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+105.2%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$133
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$18(+13.2%)
Whales
8
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 66¢·84 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $56 · WR 79.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $29 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 93¢·14.6 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 69.7%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·26.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $13 · WR 85.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 86.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 66.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 93¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 87.6%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 84.5%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1063ms