Will Democrats win 49 or more House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$2.6K
125 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 58 traders
How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
8 MARKETS · $41.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Democrats win fewer than 43 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections
0¢0¢$1.3K0/13Will Democrats win fewer than 43 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections0¢0¢
$1.3K0/13
Will Democrats win exactly 43 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections
0¢+10¢$8641/9Will Democrats win exactly 43 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections+10¢0¢
$8641/9
Will Democrats win exactly 44 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections
0¢+7¢$1.9K1/13Will Democrats win exactly 44 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections+7¢0¢
$1.9K1/13
Will Democrats win exactly 45 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections
1¢+19¢$2.1K3/12Will Democrats win exactly 45 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections+19¢1¢
$2.1K3/12
Will Democrats win exactly 46 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections
0¢+12¢$2.1K2/15Will Democrats win exactly 46 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections+12¢0¢
$2.1K2/15
Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections
5¢+11¢$8.1K3/16Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections+11¢5¢
$8.1K3/16
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Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$168+14 new NO$794
$97 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-45.7%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 17¢·249.8 shares·also $123 on NO
Invested
$43
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $43 · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 19¢·50 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 69.8%
P
Pricey-Million🥉
Entry 11¢·37 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 60.3%
S
sweetj
Entry 7¢·30.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 73.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$479
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$298(+62.2%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 82¢·150 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$123
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $123 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 100¢·70 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $70 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 57¢·120 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $68 · WR 87.6%
K
korda77
Entry 35¢·186 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $65 · WR 84.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 69¢·80 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $55 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $40 · WR 88.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $40 · WR 87.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 83¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 60.2%
B
beatrix99
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 81.1%
L
luciebot
Entry 39¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 80.3%
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