Geopolitics13 days left
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.2% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$350
55 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 24 traders
August Inflation China - Annual
5 MARKETS · $19.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
by ≤0.2% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026←
2¢+23¢$3502/6by ≤0.2% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026←+23¢2¢
$3502/6
by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026
12¢+26¢$8263/5by between 0.3% and 0.4% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026+26¢12¢
$8263/5
by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026
39¢−1¢$8.1K17/28by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026−1¢39¢
$8.1K17/28
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs6 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team23 traders
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-38.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team23 traders
Total Invested
$79
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$78(+98.0%)
Whales
6
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 99¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 88.9%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 85.3%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 94¢·9.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 79.3%
V
vitalik-buttrug
Entry 90¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 85.7%
B
beatrix99
Entry 94¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 86.0%
T
tuterw
Entry 90¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 82.8%
V
vitalik-buttrug
Entry 9¢·11.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1 · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 6¢·9.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 79.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 1¢·40 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $1 · WR 88.9%
B
beatrix99
Entry 6¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $0 · WR 86.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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