15 days left
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
YES Price
86¢
86% implied
NO Price
14¢
14% implied
Volume
$48.0K
1,859 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 227 traders
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
2 MARKETS · $90.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs41 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$1.4K+9 new NO$133
$149 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.4K is directional: YES $3.1K·NO $268YES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+52.6%)
Whales
22
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 66¢·2,999.7 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$613
+$613INV $2.0K · WR 70.0%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 63¢·1,041.3 shares
Invested
$652
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$297
+$297INV $652 · WR 67.6%
M
mantou11🥉hedged
Entry 82¢·697.3 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$574
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $574 · WR 56.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 65¢·378.4 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $245 · WR 75.8%
U
Upbeat-Politicianhedged
Entry 31¢·485.9 shares·also $421 on NO
Invested
$151
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$267
+$267INV $151 · WR 74.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 22¢·495.9 shares·also $535 on NO
Invested
$110
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$316
+$316INV $110 · WR 55.2%
W
wert4
Entry 23¢·449.2 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$307
+$307INV $103 · WR 65.2%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 18¢·445 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$306
+$306INV $78 · WR 63.5%
L
lynchaaron
Entry 77¢·43.2 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $33 · WR 71.8%
S
Secondary-Magic
Entry 80¢·32 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $26 · WR 65.9%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.3K(-68.4%)
Whales
41
M
mantou11🥇hedged
Entry 186¢·663.1 shares·also $574 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-1142
$-1142INV $1.2K · WR 56.7%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·1,546.6 shares
Invested
$773
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-554
$-554INV $773 · WR 63.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 158¢·337.7 shares·also $110 on YES
Invested
$535
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-487
$-487INV $535 · WR 55.2%
U
Upbeat-Politicianhedged
Entry 87¢·485.9 shares·also $151 on YES
Invested
$421
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $421 · WR 74.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 49¢·818.1 shares
Invested
$399
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-283
$-283INV $399 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 51¢·764 shares
Invested
$391
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-283
$-283INV $391 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·667.2 shares
Invested
$336
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-242
$-242INV $336 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 44¢·739 shares
Invested
$326
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-222
$-222INV $326 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 44¢·596.1 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-177
$-177INV $261 · WR 87.7%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven
Entry 66¢·358.1 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $236 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 41
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