15 days left
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$42.1K
1,667 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 217 traders
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
2 MARKETS · $90.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs40 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$82+9 new NO$556
$20 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $411·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-75.2%)
Whales
19
A
Askeladd.🥇hedged
Entry 68¢·765.9 shares·also $230 on NO
Invested
$521
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-421
$-421INV $521 · WR 57.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 85¢·300.9 shares·also $200 on NO
Invested
$255
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $255 · WR 55.2%
S
spaceloaf🥉
Entry 44¢·453.9 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-167
$-167INV $201 · WR 67.6%
U
Upbeat-Politicianhedged
Entry 87¢·141.3 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$122
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $122 · WR 74.2%
W
wert4
Entry 34¢·309 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $104 · WR 65.2%
M
mantou11
Entry 41¢·137.6 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $56 · WR 56.7%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 34¢·70 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $24 · WR 63.5%
N
neverhackme
Entry 16¢·80 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 75.8%
K
konduktor
Entry 31¢·33.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 69.2%
Q
Quantum777
Entry 45¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+39.9%)
Whales
40
S
Sylvester.the.Cat🥇
Entry 70¢·2,010 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$343
+$343INV $1.4K · WR 70.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 62¢·981.1 shares
Invested
$612
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $612 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 57¢·596.2 shares
Invested
$338
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$181
+$181INV $338 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 57¢·550 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $312 · WR 72.1%
A
Askeladd.hedged
Entry 28¢·817.9 shares·also $521 on YES
Invested
$230
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$482
+$482INV $230 · WR 57.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67¢·313 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $210 · WR 88.7%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 66¢·300.9 shares·also $255 on YES
Invested
$200
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $200 · WR 55.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·374.1 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$139
+$139INV $186 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 53¢·330 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $174 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 60¢·275.4 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $166 · WR 86.6%
Showing top 10 of 40
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