Politics15 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$4.7K
289 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 78 traders
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $14.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$49+6 new NO$114
$69 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9 is directional: YES $0·NO $9YES Team
Total Invested
$7
Avg Win Rate
62.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-57.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$49(+30.6%)
Whales
9
B
Brisk-Rod-Patentee🥇
Entry 54¢·80.9 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $43 · WR 81.5%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 65¢·60 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $39 · WR 86.1%
6
0x60379060...🥉
Entry 58¢·54 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $31 · WR 83.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 66.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 87.7%
A
AmericaFirst1
Entry 59¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 59.1%
L
Leading-Craft
Entry 50¢·10.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 82.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 79.6%
A
allofit
Entry 50¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 69.2%
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