Politics15 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
29ยข
29% implied
NO Price
71ยข
71% implied
Volume
$1.5K
115 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 42 traders
IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS ยท $14.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars ยท 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%ยท net of hedges
+2 new YES$11+2 new NO$29
$12 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer โ left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $38 is directional: YES $0ยทNO $38YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-34.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$167
Avg Win Rate
76.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+6.8%)
Whales
10
T
thanksforplayin๐ฅ
Entry 75ยขยท50 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 ยท WR 55.6%
G
god83743894๐ฅ
Entry 84ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 ยท WR 85.8%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $27 ยท WR 80.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 84ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $17 ยท WR 89.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 61ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 ยท WR 66.7%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 80ยขยท15 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 ยท WR 81.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 ยท WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 84ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 ยท WR 79.6%
N
Near-Scow-Amount
Entry 50ยขยท10.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 ยท WR 80.4%
A
allofit
Entry 50ยขยท8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 ยท WR 69.2%
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