Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 9%-12%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$1.2K

81 trades

Smart Whales

12

of 40 traders · 1 on both sides

FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $28.7K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs9 NO

31%69%

69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%

+4 new YES$2+3 new NO$156

0 smart whales2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$6 of $33 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $13·NO $15

YES Team

Total Invested

$16

Avg Win Rate

76.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$4(-28.5%)

Whales

4

Entry 3¢·210 shares

+$0INV $7 · WR 73.7%

Entry 8¢·52.8 shares

$-2INV $4 · WR 79.6%

balthazar🥉hedged

Entry 8¢·35.9 shares·also $18 on NO

$-2INV $3 · WR 72.1%

Entry 8¢·21 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 87.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$253

Avg Win Rate

86.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$208(+82.3%)

Whales

9

Entry 42¢·244.6 shares

+$132INV $104 · WR 88.0%

haveagoodday🥈

Entry 99¢·75 shares

$-2INV $74 · WR 87.0%

northdrawer🥉

Entry 50¢·64 shares

+$30INV $32 · WR 87.7%

balthazarhedged

Entry 99¢·18 shares·also $3 on YES

$-0INV $18 · WR 72.1%

Entry 99¢·10 shares

$-0INV $10 · WR 86.2%

Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher

Entry 50¢·10.8 shares

+$5INV $5 · WR 79.6%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$5INV $5 · WR 84.7%

Entry 11¢·44 shares

+$38INV $5 · WR 84.8%

Entry 4¢·1.7 shares

+$2INV $0 · WR 88.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 8% YES: the Republican Party candidate win…