Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$2.6K
120 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 59 traders
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $24.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
56.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-93.2%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$308
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$145(+47.2%)
Whales
10
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 79¢·95.1 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $75 · WR 79.2%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 97¢·75 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $73 · WR 86.5%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 93¢·70 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $65 · WR 88.5%
L
Lucerys
Entry 52¢·94.6 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $50 · WR 87.6%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 82¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 62.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $15 · WR 86.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 84.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 66.7%
P
probability◆Proven
Entry 100¢·3.9 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 61.1%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 0¢·76.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $0 · WR 78.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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