Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$6.0K
220 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 91 traders · 1 on both sides
FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $24.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $18 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $7·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-77.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$222
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$66(+29.7%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 77¢·94.6 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $73 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 65¢·79.1 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $51 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 91¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $36 · WR 88.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 99¢·27.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 86.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 58¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 86.1%
M
Metallic-Monasticism
Entry 60¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 56.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 88¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 84.1%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 59¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 62.1%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 69¢·0.9 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.9%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 611ms