Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?
YES Price
98¢
98% implied
NO Price
2¢
2% implied
Volume
$6.0K
196 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 103 traders
FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $22.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 98¢
YES 42%NO 58%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 98¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
$561
$26
+4 new YES · 1 smart whale+10 new NO · 2 smart whales
$10 bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $969 is directional: YES $949·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$949
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$402(+42.3%)
Whales
8
A
Alicia◆Proven🥇
Entry 95¢·486.1 shares
Invested
$461
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $461 · WR 70.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 68¢·291.3 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $199 · WR 78.3%
P
probability◆Proven🥉
Entry 44¢·255.3 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $111 · WR 61.2%
W
willsom
Entry 46¢·233.4 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $108 · WR 62.4%
R
RayGuy
Entry 89¢·40 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $36 · WR 55.9%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 42¢·56.6 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $24 · WR 55.9%
U
Unwelcome-Plaintiff-Photograph
Entry 44¢·20.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 57.4%
K
kSj39SJLtjl
Entry 23¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 55.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$138
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$130(-94.1%)
Whales
11
L
lpgb🥇
Entry 46¢·69 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $32 · WR 72.4%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 74¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $30 · WR 86.6%
A
aliiz🥉
Entry 77¢·21 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 67.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 86.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 88¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 88.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 76¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 79.2%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat
Entry 88¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 82.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 14¢·30 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 87.9%
H
Honest-Surprise
Entry 8¢·49.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 65.5%
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