Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.3K
239 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 95 traders
FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $22.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.5¢
YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $74 is directional: YES $26·NO $48YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-92.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$352
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+14.5%)
Whales
13
P
probability◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·156.7 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $156 · WR 61.2%
L
lpgb🥈
Entry 75¢·69 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $52 · WR 72.4%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 91¢·51.6 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $47 · WR 55.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 71¢·40 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $28 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 73¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 79.6%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission
Entry 76¢·11.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 82.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 74¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 88.6%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 77¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.3%
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