Politics19 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$8.8K
384 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 94 traders · 1 on both sides
CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 57% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 73%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$242+5 new NO$114
$79 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $39 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $18·NO $14YES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+11.1%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$168
Avg Win Rate
82.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+23.8%)
Whales
12
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 60¢·80 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $48 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 64¢·54 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $35 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $18 · WR 87.7%
C
Carhedged
Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 65.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $15 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 62¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 62¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 69¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 89.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 66.9%
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