Politics19 days left

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 30%-35%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

21¢

21% implied

NO Price

79¢

79% implied

Volume

$3.6K

189 trades

Smart Whales

8

of 63 traders

CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $20.3K MATCHED

Smart Money

3¢−3¢$5350/9

by 35% or more−3¢3¢

21¢+4¢$3.6K2/6

by 30%-35%←+4¢21¢

34¢−24¢$2.4K1/9

by 25%-30%−24¢34¢

27¢−13¢$8.8K2/12

by 20%-25%−13¢27¢

20¢−10¢$2.0K1/9

by 15%-20%−10¢20¢

4¢−4¢$6010/8

by 10%-15%−4¢4¢

5¢+4¢$1.5K1/10

by 5%-10%+4¢5¢

0¢+10¢$3541/9

by 0%-5%+10¢0¢

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election0¢0¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs6 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%

+2 new YES$4+2 new NO$16

0 smart whales1 smart whale

YES Team

Total Invested

$20

Avg Win Rate

62.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$15(-73.5%)

Whales

2

Entry 79¢·20 shares

$-12INV $16 · WR 60.3%

garbagecollect4🥈

Entry 72¢·6 shares

$-3INV $4 · WR 68.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$71

Avg Win Rate

83.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$19(+27.2%)

Whales

6

haveagoodday🥇

Entry 73¢·37.2 shares

+$2INV $27 · WR 86.6%

Entry 79¢·25.6 shares

+$0INV $20 · WR 79.6%

qwen4.1.fund🥉

Entry 50¢·24.8 shares

+$7INV $12 · WR 85.9%

Entry 46¢·11.6 shares

+$4INV $5 · WR 88.7%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$3INV $5 · WR 66.9%

Entry 15¢·3.8 shares

+$2INV $1 · WR 86.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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