195 days left

Will Aaron Sorkin win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$154

19 trades

Smart Whales

3

of 15 traders

Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner

14 MARKETS · $9.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Aaron Sorkin←

4¢+29¢$1541/2

Aaron Sorkin←+29¢4¢

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

6¢+19¢$1.5K1/3

Alejandro G. Iñárritu+19¢6¢

Bassam Tariq0¢0¢

Christopher Nolan

65¢−15¢$4.7K7/7

Christopher Nolan−15¢65¢

David O. Russell

David O. Russell—0¢

Denis Villeneuve

20¢+9¢$7162/5

Denis Villeneuve+9¢20¢

Jesse Eisenberg

6¢+27¢$1981/2

Jesse Eisenberg+27¢6¢

Jordan Firstman

0¢+50¢$1481/1

Jordan Firstman+50¢0¢

Lance Oppenheim

3¢−3¢$6630/2

Lance Oppenheim−3¢3¢

Martin McDonagh

4¢+46¢$2041/1

Martin McDonagh+46¢4¢

1¢−1¢$2150/1

Olivia Wilde−1¢1¢

7¢−7¢$1480/3

Peter Farrelly−7¢7¢

Phil Lord or Christopher Miller

3¢+30¢$1921/2

Phil Lord or Christopher Miller+30¢3¢

Steven Spielberg

1¢−1¢$2080/1

Steven Spielberg−1¢1¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs2 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

71.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+351.9%)

Whales

1

Entry 1¢·52.2 shares

+$2INV $1 · WR 71.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$50

Avg Win Rate

83.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$46(+91.4%)

Whales

2

plainfolder🥇

Entry 99¢·45 shares

$-1INV $44 · WR 85.4%

Hugin-og-Munin🥈

Entry 92¢·5 shares

+$0INV $5 · WR 64.9%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 1¢·45 shares

+$43INV $1 · WR 85.4%

Entry 8¢·5 shares

+$4INV $0 · WR 64.9%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 154ms